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Dollar near 6-week highs as trade, growth worries ramp up

Dollar near 6-week highs as trade, growth worries ramp up

Mon Feb 11 2019

 

 

The dollar rose against most other currencies on Monday, holding near a six-week high as fresh worries about US-China trade tensions and global growth drove appetite for safe-haven assets.

 

“US-China talks are the big focus for the week and the dollar strength is indicative of the cautious market sentiment right now owing to its safe-haven status,” said Nick Twidale, chief operating officer at Rakuten Securities. “The Aussie dollar and the euro are at vulnerable levels right now and further dampening in risk sentiment can lead to further downside in these currencies.”

 

US negotiators will this week press China on longstanding demands that it reform how it treats US companies' intellectual property in order to seal a trade deal that could prevent tariffs from rising on Chinese imports.

 

The dollar gained 0.1 per cent versus the yen to 109.82. However, traders expect moves in dollar/yen to be small on Monday as Japanese markets remain shut for a public holiday.

 

The dollar index, a gauge of its value versus six major peers, was marginally higher at 96.64, on track for its eighth straight day of gains.

 

Trade tensions between the world's two largest economies have been a major driver of global investor sentiment over the past year. Market confidence took a hit last week when US President Donald Trump said he did not plan to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping before a March 1 deadline set by the two countries to achieve a trade deal.

 

Trump has vowed to increase US tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese imports to 25 per cent from 10 per cent currently if the two sides cannot reach a deal by March 2.

 

The euro was marginally lower versus the greenback at $1.1322 in early Asian trade while the Aussie was 0.15 percent higher at $0.7099, after a disastrous week in which it lost 2.2 percent.

 

The strength in the dollar has come despite the Federal Reserve taking a dovish stance at its last policy meeting in January. For now, investors are piling into the safety of the greenback due to fears of a sharp global economic slowdown.

 

The euro came under pressure as core European government debt yields touched their lowest in over two years. The single currency has lost 2.5 per cent so far this month.

 

Benchmark German yields were just 10 basis points away from zero percent.

 

The European Commission sharply cut on Thursday its forecasts for euro zone economic growth for this year and next with the bloc's largest economies expected to be held back by global trade tensions and domestic challenges..

 

Last month, the International Monetary Fund also downgraded its forecasts for global growth.

 

Elsewhere, sterling was down 0.1 per cent at $1.2935. Traders expect the pound to remain volatile amid heightened political uncertainty over the Brexit process.

 

Source: Reuters

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