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Gold prices rise as Fed rate tone weakens dollar

Gold prices rise as Fed rate tone weakens dollar

Fri Jan 11 2019

 

Gold prices climbed on Friday as the dollar fell back on expectations the US central bank may pause interest rates hikes if the US economy slows this year, while investors awaited news on progress in the Sino-US trade talks.

 

Spot gold rose 0.4 per cent to $1,290.84 per ounce as at 0310 GMT, heading for a fourth straight weekly gain. The yellow metal is up 0.4 per cent so far this week. US gold futures were up 0.3 per cent at $1,290.8 per ounce.

 

“The weaker dollar and a more dovish Fed are the two most alluring factors for gold,” said Stephen Innes, APAC trading head at OANDA. “There are concerns for the US economy to slow down, perhaps towards the end of 2019 and into 2020, so the markets are pricing rate cuts.”

 

The dollar slipped against other major currencies, after having rebounded from three-month lows on Thursday following Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's comment which suggested the central bank is not done tightening monetary policy just yet.

 

A partial US government shutdown extended into its 20th day and provided little comfort to the US currency, after President Donald Trump threatened on Thursday to use emergency powers to bypass US Congress to pay for a wall on the US-Mexico border. “The (gold) market is holding back a little as they are concerned the equity market could rally significantly on trade war truce,” Innes said.

 

Asian equities inched up to one-month highs, but the rally's momentum slowed partly as investors sought more clarity on whether the United States and China could make headways on their talks on trade as well as intellectual property rights.

 

“Dilemma over the US-Sino trade dispute is still raising eyebrows and needs clarity,” said Sugandha Sachdeva, vice-president - metals, energy and currency research, Religare Broking Ltd. “Once trade issues are resolved, the dollar is likely to remain suppressed, losing its appeal as a safe haven...Gold on the other hand would stand to benefit.”

 

Also aiding gold's upward trend are concerns of weakening global growth, further emphasised by sombre data out of Switzerland and France on Thursday. “Gold will likely approach the short term resistance of $1,310 per ounce, from where some profit-booking can be seen,” said Religare Broking'S Sachdeva, adding that near term support can be seen at $1,275 per ounce.

 

Spot gold is expected to retest a resistance at $1,299 per ounce, with a good chance of breaking above this level and rising further to $1,311, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao. Palladium 0.4 per cent to $1,326.75 per ounce, and was up about 2 per cent for the week.

 

Silver climbed 0.6 per cent to $15.65. However, it was poised to snap three sessions of weekly gains. Platinum was up 0.2 per cent at $821.60 per ounce.

 

Source: Reuters

Technical Research
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Monday, June 17, 2019
ExchangeCommodityContractOpenHighLowClose
MCXAluminiumJun19142.5142.9141.25142.15
MCXAluminium MiniJun19142.55142.7141.55142.3
NCDEXBarleyJun191850185018401847
MCXCardamomJun192556.92581.82556.92575.6
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